Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad stat: the derby story must follow the statistical evidence
The derby story must follow the statistical evidence. Goals by half, venue form and the pressure behind the total.
Read analysis ↗🇪🇸 Spain
La Liga Betting Tips — Page 2
Page 2 of la liga betting tips. Continue through this collection, or return to its first page for the full editorial introduction.
Latest La Liga Betting Tips analysis
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Read analysis ↗La Liga Betting Tips statistical observations
Season 2026/27 · 2026-08-15–2026-10-25 · 98 unique completed matches in the collected sample. This is not asserted to be a complete league census.
The recorded matches average 3.02 goals. Under 2.5 occurred in 42 of 98 matches (42.9%); over 2.5 occurred in 56. Home sides scored 1.69 per game and visitors 1.33.
The second half had more goals in 1 of 7 matched half records (14.3%). The first half led in 1 and the halves were equal in 5. Only games with both confirmed half scores enter this comparison.
Corners average 9.67 per match across 94 confirmed reports. The combined total exceeded 9.5 in 47 of 94 games (50.0%). This is an observed reference threshold, not an automatically selected forecast.
Shots on target average 9.40 per match across 94 confirmed reports. The combined total exceeded 8.5 in 54 of 94 games (57.4%). This is an observed reference threshold, not an automatically selected forecast.
Yellow cards average 4.82 per match across 56 confirmed reports. The combined total exceeded 3.5 in 40 of 56 games (71.4%). This is an observed reference threshold, not an automatically selected forecast.
| Match statistic | Mean total | Median | Confirmed matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.02 | 3.0 | 98 / 98 |
| First-half goals | 1.14 | 1.0 | 7 / 98 |
| Second-half goals | 0.86 | 0.0 | 7 / 98 |
| Corners | 9.67 | 9.5 | 94 / 98 |
| Shots on target | 9.40 | 9.0 | 94 / 98 |
| Shots off target | 13.75 | 14.5 | 8 / 98 |
| Total shots | 27.00 | 27.0 | 8 / 98 |
| Yellow cards | 4.82 | 5.0 | 56 / 98 |
| Fouls | 24.59 | 24.5 | 94 / 98 |
Latest recorded round: 9 · 2 collected fixtures · partial sample.
Observed frequencies describe the collected games, not the success rate of our predictions. Figures are recalculated when verified match records are imported.